Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000830 0.000890 0.000954 0.001027 0.001107 0.001193 0.001293
2026-01-18 0.000740 0.000822 0.000913 0.001022 0.001150 0.001295 0.001474
2026-01-25 0.000778 0.000893 0.001025 0.001191 0.001395 0.001641 0.001966
2026-02-01 0.000704 0.000823 0.000964 0.001146 0.001378 0.001669 0.002068
2026-02-08 0.000650 0.000772 0.000919 0.001114 0.001370 0.001701 0.002174
2026-02-15 0.000613 0.000738 0.000892 0.001102 0.001383 0.001759 0.002316
2026-02-22 0.000574 0.000700 0.000857 0.001075 0.001374 0.001784 0.002411
2026-03-01 0.000536 0.000659 0.000816 0.001035 0.001344 0.001776 0.002455
2026-03-08 0.000511 0.000634 0.000794 0.001021 0.001347 0.001814 0.002570
2026-03-15 0.000486 0.000609 0.000770 0.001002 0.001340 0.001836 0.002662
2026-03-22 0.000452 0.000570 0.000725 0.000951 0.001284 0.001779 0.002620
2026-03-29 0.000431 0.000547 0.000701 0.000929 0.001269 0.001785 0.002680
2026-04-05 0.000412 0.000528 0.000684 0.000919 0.001277 0.001834 0.002835
2026-04-12 0.000396 0.000512 0.000671 0.000914 0.001294 0.001899 0.003026
2026-04-19 0.000426 0.000562 0.000754 0.001058 0.001556 0.002399 0.004107
2026-04-26 0.000401 0.000533 0.000720 0.001020 0.001519 0.002381 0.004174
2026-05-03 0.000381 0.000510 0.000694 0.000993 0.001497 0.002387 0.004292
2026-05-10 0.000367 0.000494 0.000679 0.000982 0.001503 0.002442 0.004526
2026-05-17 0.000351 0.000475 0.000657 0.000959 0.001485 0.002453 0.004660
2026-05-24 0.000333 0.000453 0.000630 0.000925 0.001446 0.002417 0.004682
2026-05-31 0.000322 0.000440 0.000616 0.000913 0.001444 0.002457 0.004889
2026-06-07 0.000310 0.000426 0.000600 0.000897 0.001434 0.002476 0.005050
2026-06-14 0.000293 0.000403 0.000568 0.000852 0.001369 0.002378 0.004901